{"id":696,"date":"2021-05-18T18:00:59","date_gmt":"2021-05-18T22:00:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/?p=696"},"modified":"2024-01-28T11:19:21","modified_gmt":"2024-01-28T16:19:21","slug":"31-the-unbleakness-of-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/31-the-unbleakness-of-climate-change\/","title":{"rendered":"31: The Unbleakness of Climate Change"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>&#8220;The planet isn\u2019t going anywhere; we are!&#8221; &#8211; George Carlin<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/category\/arc\/topical-paleolimnology\/\">Topical Paleolimnology arc<\/a> concludes with a look at the most topical topic of our time. No, not the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/COVID-19_pandemic\">COVID-19 pandemic<\/a>. <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Climate_change\">Climate change<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Climate change is an omnipresent issue that has featured prominently in several past episodes (e.g. <a href=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/12-popular-paleolimnology\/\">Popular Paleolimnology<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/13-no-planet-b\/\">No Plan(et) B<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/28-cyanobacterial-blooms-a-hot-mess\/\">Cyanobacterial Blooms<\/a>); however, we\u2019ve likely referred to it in some way in every episode to date.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"740\" height=\"582\" src=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Waves.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-828\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Waves.jpg 740w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Waves-300x236.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 740px) 100vw, 740px\" \/><figcaption>Climate change dwarfs other societal problems<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>So, what exactly is climate change? Although familiar territory for regular listeners, the term refers to effects associated with the increasing concentration of CO<sub>2<\/sub> in the Earth\u2019s atmosphere. The increasing trend was first documented in 1958 by <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Charles_David_Keeling\">Charles David Keeling<\/a> and the graph showing the accumulation of atmospheric CO<sub>2<\/sub> over time has become known as the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Keeling_Curve\">Keeling Curve<\/a>. This accumulation is primarily associated with industrial emissions &#8211; essentially burning things. The additional CO<sub>2<\/sub> has an insulating effect on the planet, letting heat in, but preventing its escape, resulting in the planet getting warmer.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Keeling-Curve-1024x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-829\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Keeling-Curve.png 1024w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Keeling-Curve-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Keeling-Curve-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Keeling-Curve-768x768.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>The <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Keeling_Curve\">Keeling Curve<\/a>: Measurements of atmospheric CO<sub>2<\/sub> concentrations at Mauna Loa, Hawaii<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The terminology used to describe the accumulation of CO<sub>2<\/sub> has changed over time. Back in the 1980s, the phrase \u2018Greenhouse Effect\u2019 was used, this was replaced by \u2018Global Warming\u2019, and more recently as \u2018Climate Change\u2019 (if not the \u2018Climate Crisis\u2019). This re-branding was to better describe the collected issues, as concerns are not limited to temperature alone, but also the variety of impacts rising temperatures have on global climate patterns due to the many positive feedback loops involved. For example, as ice in polar regions melts, the water or land that becomes exposed is darker and less reflective than the snow and ice, absorbing more heat, and increasing the rate of warming further.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"362\" src=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Climate-Change-Ngram-1024x362.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-830\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Climate-Change-Ngram-1024x362.png 1024w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Climate-Change-Ngram-300x106.png 300w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Climate-Change-Ngram-768x272.png 768w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Climate-Change-Ngram-1536x543.png 1536w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Climate-Change-Ngram-1600x566.png 1600w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Climate-Change-Ngram.png 1663w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption><a href=\"https:\/\/books.google.com\/ngrams\/info\">Google NGram<\/a> comparing use of the terms \u2018greenhouse effect\u2019, \u2018global warming\u2019, and \u2018climate change\u2019.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Atmospheric CO<sub>2<\/sub> concentrations are not only rising, the rate of the rise is also increasing, and has recently reached levels never before experienced by humans. For context, when Adam was born the concentration was 333 ppm. When Josh was born it was 346 ppm. Today, it is 414 ppm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many nightmare scenarios are associated with runaway climate warming, including:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Water_scarcity\">Increasing water scarcity<\/a><\/li><li>Widespread famine<\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Water_conflict\">Conflicts over water resources<\/a><\/li><li>Breakdown of <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Thermohaline_circulation\">thermohaline circulation<\/a><\/li><li>The arrival of <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Four_Horsemen_of_the_Apocalypse\">Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"537\" src=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/horseman-1024x537.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-831\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/horseman-1024x537.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/horseman-300x157.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/horseman-768x402.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/horseman-1536x805.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/horseman-1600x838.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/horseman.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>These guys prefer warmer weather (<em>Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse by <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Viktor_Vasnetsov\"><em>Viktor Vasnetsov<\/em><\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Climate change is an existential threat for everyone on the planet. It is not only the environmental issue of our times, but also the political issue of our times. The best time to begin addressing the problem was 30-40 years ago. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article\/exxon-knew-about-climate-change-almost-40-years-ago\/\">Convincing models indicating that the climate was warming were available in the 1970s<\/a>, but they were filed away.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, what can paleolimnology contribute to climate change analyses\/discussions, given the discipline is largely concerned with the past rather than the future?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li>Contextual understanding of environmental change in the realm of climate and temperature impacts.<\/li><li>Despite recovery underway for a variety of environmental stressors (e.g. acid rain), climate change is ensuring a return to \u2018baseline\u2019 conditions will not occur on any meaningful timescale.<\/li><li>Need for localized information, due to regional variability in climate responses (e.g. the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Hudson_Bay_Lowlands\">Hudson Bay Lowlands<\/a> were actively cooling until recently).<\/li><li>Hindcast climate models for validation (i.e. apply them backwards).<\/li><li>Track changes in vegetation species\/community ranges.&nbsp;<\/li><li>Provide information on variable onset of stressors by latitude,(e.g. disappearing Arctic ponds).<\/li><li>Study natural variability, as phenomena like the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Medieval_Warm_Period\">Medieval Warm Period<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Little_Ice_Age\">Little Ice Age<\/a> were not related to industrial CO<sub>2<\/sub> emissions<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The study of climate change is very complicated, because in addition to its direct impacts, there are many indirect impacts as the warming climate acts as a \u2018threat multiplier\u2019 by interacting with or exacerbating other environmental stressors.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li>Frequency of eutrophication and cyanobacterial blooms.<\/li><li>Frequency of devastating forest fires.<\/li><li>Sensitivity of Daphnia to lakewater Ca decline.<\/li><li>Arctic storm surges are becoming more impactful due to reduced sea ice.<\/li><li>Summer anoxia\/hypoxia in the hypolimnion of dimictic lakes.<\/li><li>Permafrost thaw (slumps are bigger, faster, and occurring in new areas).<\/li><li>Melting glaciers.<\/li><li>Not limited to environmental impacts, social ills are also being made worse.&nbsp;<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In climate change discussions there may be too much emphasis placed on hope vs. despair. It is possible to be hopeful and focus on your individual ecological footprint, but perfection is the enemy of good, and shame\/guilt over the state of the world does not address the issue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" src=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Lebowski.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-832\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Lebowski.jpg 853w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Lebowski-300x162.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ajeziorski.ca\/podcast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Lebowski-768x414.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 853px) 100vw, 853px\" \/><figcaption><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Nihilism\">Nihilism<\/a> must be exhausting<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Unfortunately, addressing climate change is beyond the scope of individual actions. Canvas bags instead of grocery bags are great, but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/the-highlight\/2019\/5\/28\/18629833\/climate-change-2019-green-new-deal\">\u201cI don\u2019t care if you recycle or not&#8221;<\/a>. Top-Down solutions at a societal level are required (things like the electrification of the transportation system) and meaningful pressure needs to be applied to governments around the world, as the greatest costs will be borne by the poorest. The question is whether political tipping points can be reached before key environmental thresholds are crossed?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/soundcloud.com\/coreideas\/ep-31-the-unbleakness-of-climate-change\">Episode 31 can be found here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;The planet isn\u2019t going anywhere; we are!&#8221; &#8211; George Carlin The Topical Paleolimnology arc concludes with a look at the&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":699,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[214],"tags":[263,111,259,260,265,264,262,266,261,204],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.13 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>31: The Unbleakness of Climate Change - Core Ideas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Topical Paleolimnology arc concludes with a look at the most topical topic of our time. 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